The U.S. economy surged by an unexpectedly strong 5.7% annualized rate in fourth quarter, driven more by slower inventory liquidation than by consumer spending, says the Commerce Department in its first estimate of fourth-quarter gross domestic product (GDP). Excluding inventory changes, the economy would have grown by 2.2%, a smaller preliminary improvement from 1.5% in the third quarter.
The good news for buyers and suppliers is that, according to Wells Fargo Economics, GDP growth was driven by business spending on equipment and software, which jumped 13.3% in the October-December timeframe, more than forecast. It’s the second quarter in a row that business spending has increased, after six quarters of decline.
But what is driving that spending seems to be a point of concern. Brian Bethune, chief U.S. financial economist for IHS Global Insight, says 60% of the fourth quarter’s growth resulted from a sharp slowdown in the reduction of inventories as firms began to rebuild stockpiles depleted by the recession. He explains that a shift in the inventory cycle can make a big difference to economic growth, even if overall spending by consumers and businesses grows only modestly. That’s because an increase in inventories, or even just a much slower rate of decline, means that companies are producing more goods to fill orders, rather than drawing on their existing stockpiles.
Other analyses warn that inventory-driven growth is usually short-term. Len Blum, managing director at Westwood Capital, tells CNNMoney.com he’s skeptical of the heady expectations generated by the latest GDP report. “The positive results are from the government stimulus and the inventory cycle,” says Blum. “I don’t think growth will be sustainable without more government stimulus.” The Associated Press also reports that the engine of late-2009 growth-companies replenishing stockpiles-is likely to weaken as consumers keep a lid on spending.
Still, some economists say the GDP report validates the Federal Reserve’s view that low interest rates are helping spur a recovery. The central bank has kept its key interest rate, the federal funds rate, near 0%, since December 2008. That rate is used as a benchmark for a broad range of business and consumer loans.
The nation’s economy declined 2.4% in 2009, the first annual decline since 1991 and the largest drop since 10.9% in 1946. However, a report from the Chicago Federal Reserve Bank that tracks manufacturing in five states shows that the Midwest Manufacturing Index dipped 0.3% in December, after rising 1% in November.
Tom Stundza — Purchasing 1/19/2010

So, in me telling you that we have several IBC totes available for sale here in Houston, considered ‘overstock’ equipment, and for which we can make you a good deal; …….just doesn’t resonate well with me. Instead, let me give you a bit more. Follow me:








